Ashley Lahey vs Maria Penalver Aguilo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Aguilo has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 40.69% compared to Lahey's 39.3%. Could this give Aguilo an advantage?
• Aguilo also has better return stats, winning 53.33% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Lahey's 50.1%.
• The first serve return rates are almost identical, with Aguilo at 32.93% and Lahey at 32.79%.
• Under pressure, Lahey excels by saving 49.8% of breakpoints, surpassing Aguilo, who saves 44.44%.
• Performance over the last year shows a stark contrast: Aguilo won 33.33% of matches, while Lahey won 62.07%.
• Aguilo prefers playing on Hard surfaces with a 50% win rate, yet struggles on Clay at 17%.
• Conversely, Lahey thrives on Clay with a 60% win rate, but finds Indoor Hard challenging with a 33% win rate.
• Lahey has performed significantly better in Challengers/ITF events, winning 62.07%, while Aguilo managed just 20%.
• Aguilo's opponents have been stronger on average, ranked 148.44, compared to Lahey's opponents at an average rank of 400.03.
• In deciding sets, Lahey has a notable advantage, winning 67% of these matches, whereas Aguilo wins 50%.
• Break point chances are slightly in favor of Aguilo, who converts 43.75% while Lahey converts 40.14%.

Editorial Prediction (August 20, 2025, UTC):

Both players have shown strengths and weaknesses that could sway this match in different directions. Aguilo's second serve performance and return stats suggest a potential advantage in rallies, yet Lahey's ability to save breakpoints offers a defensive edge.

Lahey's significantly higher win percentage over the past year showcases better overall form, and their consistent performance in deciding sets could prove crucial if this match is closely contested.

Despite Aguilo facing stronger opponents on average, Lahey's record on favored surfaces and at lower-level tournaments suggests they can capitalize on these opportunities.

Considering these elements, while Aguilo presents competitive stats, Lahey’s broader winning pattern and match resilience position them as the likely victor in this upcoming match. Lahey is the predicted winner.